Says an insider to the Clinton campaign (sort of). Larry O’Donnell writes: A senior campaign official and Clinton confidante has told me that there will be a Democratic nominee by June 15. He could not bring himself to say the words “Hillary will drop out by June 15,” but that is clearly what he meant. I kept saying, “So, Hillary … Read More
Text of Obama Campaign Letter To Superdelegates
TO: Superdelegates FROM: David Plouffe, Campaign Manager RE: An Update on the Race for Delegates DA: May 7, 2008 There are only six contests remaining in the Democratic primary calendar and only 217 pledged delegates left to be awarded. Only 7 percent of the pledged delegates remain on the table. There are 260 remaining undeclared superdelegates, for a total of … Read More
NC Primary Voting Stats
1,593,395 votes were cast for Democrat Presidential Nominee Statewide voter turnout was %36.42 897,107 for Obama (56.3%), 660,747 for Clinton (41.47%), 12,448 for Mike Gravel (0.78%), statewide In my district (Lewisville Elementary), there are 3,099 registered voters. 300 voted for Clinton; 369 for Obama; 3 for Mike Gravel; and 3 for "no preference" 404,599 votes in the Dem Pres Nominee … Read More
No Path To Victory
It was clear to me that Hillary lacked a clear path to victory even before Pennsylvania. Now, in the wake of the North Carolina blowout and the Indiana squeaker, I don’t see how she has a path at all, clear or otherwise. She’s behind in the popular vote. Even if you "give" her the votes in Florida and Michigan (the … Read More
NC and IN Primaries
Gotta love this. Get home from rehearsal, and I see Obama has won NC by 14%. A lot bigger than polls predicted. And Clinton barely squeaked a victory in IN, by only 2%, a lot lower than polls predicted. UPDATE: MSNBC is saying Indiana is too close to call. Obama might win. They’re saying that Hillary is cancelling her morning … Read More
NC Election Results
It won’t fly until this evening, but the NC Board of Elections has a cool webpage set up (with graphs, piecharts, etc.) for the official results as they come in.
Early Voting Stats: NC
% of Early VotersMen 38.7%Women 60.8% White 56.5%Black 39.9% White Women 33.2%White Men 23.1% Democrat 84.1%Unaffiliated 15.8% *************** More info: Voter registration as of today (via State Board of Elections):Democratic: 2,633,381 Republican: 1,933,658 Unaffiliated: 1,244,739 Total: 5,811,778 Absentee Counts as of 05/06/2008 6:00am:Absentee Mail Ballots Returned: 24,900 Absentee Onestop Ballots Cast: 471,006
Primary Day [UPDATE: Heavy turnout]
I’m in North Carolina, and have already voted. [UPDATE: If you are in NC, here’s some voting information]. [UPDATE: Heavy turnout reported as of noon today, More here] The eyes of the nation are on this state and Indiana, but my eyes are on Indiana. If Obama can eke out a win there, even a minor one, it may be … Read More
An Open Statement Opposing Proposals for a Gas Tax Holiday
Here: In recent weeks, there have been proposals in Congress and by some presidential candidates to suspend the gas tax for the summer. As economists who study issues of energy policy, taxation, public finance, and budgeting, we write to indicate our opposition to this policy. Put simply, suspending the federal tax on gasoline this summer is a bad idea and … Read More
My Predictions For Tomorrow
Obama wins North Carolina by 11. Hillary wins Indiana by 4. Hillary doesn’t drop out. It goes to the convention. Recent Obama video in NC: The good stuff (in my opinion) starts at the 5:00 mark. MESSAGE FOR THOSE READING THIS WHO ARE NOT POLITICALLY INCLINED: Take the time and go vote for Obama anyway. Just trust me. Or, if … Read More
Gas Tax Holiday Argument Not Being Bought By Public
Well, well, well. Who knew? McCain and Clinton thought they could pander and buy votes by proposing a gas tax holiday over the summer months. Doesn’t look like the winning side, as people kind of understand that it is a quick fix to a larger problem, that doesn’t put much many in people’s pockets anyway. [UPDATE: No economist agrees with … Read More
I Voted
for Barack… Yes, you can early-vote in NC, but only until tomorrow….
Lower, Lower, Lower
CNN/Gallup: Poll: Bush most unpopular in modern history A new poll suggests that George W. Bush is the most unpopular president in modern American history. A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Thursday indicates that 71 percent of the American public disapprove of how Bush his handling his job as president. "No president has ever had a higher disapproval rating in … Read More
Obama And Wright (The Latter Gets Thrown Under The Bus)
Well, I think Obama is doing (as I type this) what he needs to do. Here in WInston-Salem, he is STRONGLY denouncing Wright. Hopefully, this will put an end to the matter. UPDATE: Reformed log cabin Republican Andrew Sullivan: That was a very impressive, clear and constructive re-framing of the core message of his candidacy; and a moment given to … Read More
NC Polls
Rasmussen. 4/28. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/3 results) Obama 51 (56) Clinton 37 (33) The demographic results in North Carolina are similar to the dynamics seen nationally and in most primaries—Clinton leads by fifteen points among White voters while Obama leads 80% to 11% among African-Americans. Clinton does well among White Women and older voters while Obama leads among those … Read More