Live Debate Coverage

Ken AshfordElection 2012Leave a Comment

8:20 pm: In an alternate world, I would be watching the close race in the AL East, as the Yankees and Red Sox battle it out at Fenway.  As it is, the Yankees are creamng the lst place Red Sox. 8:30 pm:  Romney is backstage with family playing Jenga 8:50 pm – I just got an email from Obama saying … Read More

Quote Of The Day

Ken AshfordElection 2012, Race, Right Wing and Inept MediaLeave a Comment

So yesterday, the Drudge Report, the Daily Caller and Sean Hannity tease everyone, saying that they have a "bombshell video" of Obama in 2007 making racially-charged comments. And then they revealed the video last night.  It was a speech Obama delivered in 2007, as a presidential candidate, not at some secret fundraiser, but in front of a large audience at … Read More

Debate Predictions and Thoughts

Ken AshfordElection 2012Leave a Comment

* The expectations game has been really stupid, with both campaigns trying to convince the media that the other candidate is God's gift to the oratory arts.  Frankly, if either candidate can make it to the podium without tripping, they will try to call themselves the winner. * What Romney needs to do: Stop trying to be likeable; the time for … Read More

Comparing Healthcare Plans

Ken AshfordElection 2012, Health CareLeave a Comment

The Commonwealth Fund, a nonpartisan indepedent group, did the math and looked at where we will be in the future under Obama's Affordable Care Act ("Obamacare"), and under the Romney plan. I love graphs and charts.  They speak volumes. Let's start with what things will look like if NOTHING is done: Now, under OBAMACARE: Now, under the ROMNEY plan: It's … Read More

NC Polls

Ken AshfordElection 2012, Local Interest, PollsLeave a Comment

Several polls have shown a slight Obama lead in NC, but that might be slipping according to two polls out today and yesterday. PPP has Obama and Romney at a statistical tie. And ARG just released a poll showing Romney up by 4.

Romney’s Debate Strategy

Ken AshfordElection 2012Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney's debate strategy, according to reporting from The New York Times: Mr. Romney’s team has concluded that debates are about creating moments and has equipped him with a series of zingers that he has memorized and has been practicing on aides since August. His strategy includes luring the president into appearing smug or evasive about his responsibility for the economy. […] During … Read More

The GOP Voter Fraud Scandel Grows

Ken AshfordCrime, Election 2012Leave a Comment

Well, well.  The party that is so worried about voter fraud that they will suppress voters, is now in the hot seat for… voter fraud.  Even here: The North Carolina board of elections is determining whether a GOP-allied firm, Strategic Allied Consulting, submitted fraudulent voter registration forms in the state, following reports the group submitted 106 “questionable” forms in Florida. In the … Read More

I Like What Krugman Says

Ken AshfordElection 2012Leave a Comment

Read the whole thing: Republicans came into this campaign believing that it would be a referendum on President Obama, and that still-high unemployment would hand them victory on a silver platter. But given the usual caveats — a month can be a long time in politics, it’s not over until the votes are actually counted, and so on — it … Read More

Obama and Romney On Intrade

Ken AshfordElection 2012Leave a Comment

Intrade isn't gospel, but it's a pretty good indicator: Nate Silver discusses the impact of the 47% tape: By Sept. 17, the date when the video of Mr. Romney’s remarks was released and received widespread attention, the momentum from Mr. Obama’s convention appeared to have stalled (although not necessarily reversed itself). Mr. Obama led in the popular vote by 4.1 … Read More

RNC Isn’t Stopping Voter Fraud; It’s Committing It

Ken AshfordElection 2012Leave a Comment

Why is it that when legitimate examples of election fraud come to light, they always seem to come from one party? The Republican National Committee has fired a controversial consulting firm it was paying millions of dollars to conduct voter registration in five battleground states, NBC News has learned. The move came after the Palm Beach County, Fla., elections supervisor discovered … Read More

Poll Trutherism

Ken AshfordElection 2012, PollsLeave a Comment

I don't know what to say about the new meme in conservative circles, i.e., that all the polls are intentionally skewed for Obama because of liberal media bias.  It's a pretty silly claim when you think about it.  Some of these pollsters have been around a while — like Gallup, for example.  Getting it right is their stock-in-trade, and it … Read More

Short And Sweet And Devestating

Ken AshfordElection 2012Leave a Comment

I'm kind of busy here with turning 50 years old today and actually, just the durdgery of work, but not too busy to pass along this sweet new Obama ad — to run in the swing states — which doesn't rely on spin, or a narrator, but simply Romney's own words:   If Romney has any life in his campaign, … Read More

Romney Path To Victory Gets Bleaker

Ken AshfordElection 2012, PollsLeave a Comment

Nate Silver has an epic post today about late September polls from past years and how well they predict the eventual winner of a presidential race. Here are the highlights: Obama is currently up by 3.7%. No candidate in the past 50 years has lost a lead that big. No candidate with more than 47% of the vote in late September has everlost. Obama … Read More