Category Archive

Can someone explain to me why Rick Klein had ABC News thinks that "Clinton Might Have An Edge"? Obama won the last two primaries.  He trounced Clinton in Mississsippi last night, getting six to seven more delegates than Clinton.  And before yesterday, he was 600,000 votes ahead of Clinton in the national popular vote.  That has since expanded to 700,000. … Read More

Well, Clinton can’t complain anymore about media bias.  It seems they have swallowed, and are parroting, her narrative — hook, line and sinker. Everybody is saying how the Obama campaign went off track, how he’s losing, etc. But Kos explains: Let’s see just how horrible the week was: Per Obama’s count (if Clinton had a similar count, I’ll happily link … Read More

Some caveats worth remembering: The Caucus Myth For starters, forget about hard counting delegates from just about any caucus state. In many cases, including Iowa, delegates are not directly elected to the national convention. Instead, only delegates to in-state conventions are picked. And final choices on national delegates are not made until late spring, usually at statewide conventions. Pledged But … Read More

There’s a lot of debate about whether the fight between Clinton and Obama is good for the Democratic Party and/or whether or not it will hurt the Democratic nominee (whoever it is) in the general election.  Many on the left have expressed concern that the infighting between Clinton and Obama will result in a "damaged" candidate for the general election, … Read More

Lot of good stuff here: Hillary Clinton won big victories Tuesday night in Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island. But she’s now even further behind in the race for the Democratic nomination. How could that be? Math. It’s relentless. To beat Barack Obama among pledged delegates, Clinton now needs even bigger margins in the 12 remaining primaries than she needed when … Read More

ABC/Washington Post Poll: McCain is losing three in 10 conservatives to either Obama or Clinton, far more than he likely could stand to see slip away. Democratic presidential candidates since 1988 have won 15 to 20 percent of conservatives, not 30 percent. That poses a potentially difficult straddle for McCain – reassuring conservatives on his right without alienating moderates and … Read More

This is as good as it gets for a graphical depiction of the Democratic contest, and how either candidate could win.  The hill is steeper for Hillary. From the New York Times My one gripe with the chart above is when it refers to either candidate getting 60% of the remaining delegates.  When it comes to voting margins, getting 60% … Read More

Well, you have to doff your hat to the Hillary.  Not so much because she won Ohio and Texas (although, as you know, she did win those two), but because she’s got the media barking the right narrative.  Right for her, that is. After all, "winning" states only means that you got more than 50% of the votes.  And that … Read More

My prediction:  A slight Obama win in Texas, a decent but not overwhelming win for Hillary in Ohio.  Obama predictably wins Vermont and Rhode Island by wide margins. Clinton fights on to Pennsylvania. A rundown of scenarios are here.

So sayeth Lanny Davis: Actually, it really isn’t.  People manage to do it all the time. Then again, if your attacks against Obama are race-based, well then maybe you can properly be accused of playing the race card.

Last night, and I didn’t watch it.  It was probably the most important one for Hillary and Obama, especially Hillary. Man, there were twenty of those things on the Dem side, and I don’t think I saw a single one.  I don’t know.  I think they are too canned.  And the questions that get asked — they tend to be … Read More

Elect me? ABC News has video

According to Drudge: With a week to go until the Texas and Ohio primaries, stressed Clinton staffers circulated a photo over the weekend of a “dressed” Barack Obama. The photo, taken in 2006, shows the Democrat frontrunner fitted as a Somali Elder, during his visit to Wajir, a rural area in northeastern Kenya. The senator was on a five-country tour … Read More