Various networks have chimed in…. and while not all of them have called these races, at least one has called: A win for Jeanne Shaheen (D) over Sununu (R) for Senate (NH) A win for Hagan (D) over Dole (R) ifor Senate (NC) …and Pennsylvania for Obama. This last one was supposedly McCain's ace in the hole. To win, … Read More
Poll Report: End Of Day
Not a lot happened at the polling station where I was the Democratic Observer. I mean, it really was dull! With the exception of the first hour, from 7:30 to 8:30 am, there were absolutely no lines. I despaired, thinking that low voter turnout would be bad for Obama. However, the precinct that I was monitoring broke turnout records. You … Read More
Polling Report: Live From The Front Lines
I don't know if this precinct is representative, but the turnout is low. A bunch of pre-work voters, but as of 7:30, only 100 people have passed through. It could be because of high early voter turnout. I hope so.
Flashback: A Cautionary Tale For Today
From this PDF, a riveting blow-by-blow of the disaster that befell one network's Election Night coverage eight years ago. 2:15 a.m.: Fox News calls Florida for Bush, giving Bush the presidency. 2:16 a.m: NBC calls Florida and the presidency for Bush. 2:17 a.m.: The Decision Team completes its review of the Florida data and the apparent Bush lead of some … Read More
Final Predictions
Also, in my local elections: Foxx (R) beats Carter (D) for House 5th District Perdue (D) beats McCrory (R) for Governor Ballot initiative predictions: Ban on gay marriages (ballot initiatives in California, Arizona, and Florida) — all defeated Arkansas ballot initiative to prevent gay couples from adopting babies — passed Colorado ballot initiative to ban all abortion — defeated South Dakota ballot … Read More
One Last Thing Before I Call It A Night…
I'm checking in early tonight. Like I wrote earlier, I'm going to be an Obama poll observer tomorrow, which means my day starts BEFORE the polls open (at 6:30 a.m.) and end after they close (at 7:30 p.m.). But speaking of polls, one last thing… DO NOT LISTEN TO EXIT POLLS TOMORROW. They are notoriously unreliable for many reasons. … Read More
RIP Madelyn Dunham
Sad, and sad timing. Obama's ailing grandmother died. Obama addressed this tonight in Charlotte: The morons at the Free Republic question the timing, some suggesting that she died last week, and the news was released now so that Obama could get the last minute "sympathy vote". Pretty ugly, huh? Well, ugly is as ugly does. Incidentially, the RNC, through the … Read More
Tomorrow’s Weather
Doesn't look like it will be much of a factor in battleground states, except in eastern NC (heavy Republican) and part of Virginia (mixed bag). Maybe also in parts of Montana and North Dakota, which have become swing states recently.
Heads Must Be Exploding At Fox News
So while Obama's lead is widening, it's narrowing. Got that?
Don’t Buckle Up; We’re Not In For A Long, Bumpy Night
SPECIAL NOTE: I probably won't be blogging the returns tomorrow. I'll be polling site monitoring for the Obama campaign from 6:00 am until 7:30 pm. Assuming I have any strength left, I'll be going to the local Obama headquarters to watch the results. That said…. UPDATE: Nate Silver probably has THE best "What To Watch For" article out there. Read it. … Read More
How God Wants You To Vote
I really didn't think the Bible touched very much on American politics, but apparently I was wrong. The Reverend Rob Schenck (pronounced SHANK), a 15-year missionary to elected and appointed officials on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, and chairman of the Committee on Church and Society for the Evangelical Church Alliance, America's oldest association of Evangelical ministers, missionaries, institutional chaplains and … Read More
What’s Kristol Smoking?
Honestly. Just when I think he can't write a more inane column, well dammit, there he goes and does it. Barack Obama will probably win the 2008 presidential election. If he does, we conservatives will greet the news with our usual resolute stoicism or cheerful fatalism. Right. I'm sure that's how Rush will be on Wednesday. Although, I'm not so … Read More
Owner Of Gun Manufacturing Company Forced To Resign…
…and why? Because he's an Obama supporter. The namesake of Montana-based Cooper Firearms has been asked to resign as president of the company after he expressed support for Barack Obama. The company said it asked Dan Cooper, founder and part owner of Cooper Firearms, to resign as president after he voiced support for the Democratic Illinois senator's bid for president … Read More
Chart Of The Day
By Charles Franklin at Pollster.com…. click on it for a full size version This chart shows where McCain must gain, and where Obama must hold in order to get to 270. States appear in order of Obama minus McCain margin. Width is proportional to Electoral Vote. It takes 269 to tie, 270 to win. The yellow states are very close … Read More