Please Raise My Taxes

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & Deficit1 Comment

Reed Hastings, the CEO of Netflix, earns $2.5 million a year in compensation.

Here's what he thinks:

I’M the chief executive of a publicly traded company and, like my peers, I’m very highly paid. The difference between salaries like mine and those of average Americans creates a lot of tension, and I’d like to offer a suggestion. President Obama should celebrate our success, rather than trying to shame us or cap our pay. But he should also take half of our huge earnings in taxes, instead of the current one-third.

Take half his income?  But won't that destroy incentive?

Some will tell you that would reduce the incentive to earn but I don’t see that as likely. Besides, half of a giant compensation package is still pretty huge, and most of our motivation is the sheer challenge of the job anyway.

GOP Fiddling (Around) While Rome Burns

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

Krugman:

A not-so-funny thing happened on the way to economic recovery. Over the last two weeks, what should have been a deadly serious debate about how to save an economy in desperate straits turned, instead, into hackneyed political theater, with Republicans spouting all the old clichés about wasteful government spending and the wonders of tax cuts.

It’s as if the dismal economic failure of the last eight years never happened — yet Democrats have, incredibly, been on the defensive. Even if a major stimulus bill does pass the Senate, there’s a real risk that important parts of the original plan, especially aid to state and local governments, will have been emasculated.

Somehow, Washington has lost any sense of what’s at stake — of the reality that we may well be falling into an economic abyss, and that if we do, it will be very hard to get out again.

***

It’s hard to exaggerate how much economic trouble we’re in. The crisis began with housing, but the implosion of the Bush-era housing bubble has set economic dominoes falling not just in the United States, but around the world.

. . . [M]ost economic forecasts warn that in the absence of government action we’re headed for a deep, prolonged slump. . . . The Congressional Budget Office . . . recently warned that “absent a change in fiscal policy … the shortfall in the nation’s output relative to potential levels will be the largest — in duration and depth — since the Depression of the 1930s.”

Pearlstein:

What really irks so many Republicans, of course, is that all the stimulus money isn't being used to cut individual and business taxes, their cure-all for economic ailments, even though all the credible evidence is that tax cuts are only about half as stimulative as direct government spending.

John Cole:

I really don’t understand how bipartisanship is ever going to work when one of the parties is insane. Imagine trying to negotiate an agreement on dinner plans with your date, and you suggest Italian and she states her preference would be a meal of tire rims and anthrax. If you can figure out a way to split the difference there and find a meal you will both enjoy, you can probably figure out how bipartisanship is going to work the next few years.

Meanwhile, we lost 598,000 jobs in January, making the unemployment rate 7.6%, the worst since 1976.

Unemployrate_020609 

UPDATE:  North Carolina's unemployment rate remains above the national average.  It's at 8.7% according to the latest January numbers.

Zombies Ahead!

Ken AshfordRandom MusingsLeave a Comment

The media is blaming hackers for the outbreak in recent days of electronic road signs warning of zombies.  This, for example, appeared near Austin, Texas.

1zombies020409    

More road signs showed up earlier this week in Indiana, warning of raptors.

18620551_400X300 

This all comes about from a post at i-hacked.com about how to hack the signs (NOTE: Don't do it!).  The signs are password-protected, but few road crews bother to change the default password that comes with these signs.

I don't agree with those who claim that the hacked road signs present a potential danger or hazard to motor vehicles.  It seems to me that cars are more likely to slow down by the odd sign than otherwise.

On the other hand, I suppose there is a "cry wolf" risk to these pranks.  I mean, will people believe these road signs in the future when there actually are zombies or raptors blocking the road ahead?

Lessons

Ken AshfordObama Opposition1 Comment

Lesson learned from the past 8 years:

Republicans are very bad at governing.

Lesson I think we all are about to learn (as shown by the fact that 41 Republicans in the Senate are succeeding in preventing passage of a stimulus bill):

Republicans are very good at preventing governing.

This isn't necessarily an insult.  The mantra of the GOP was, and is, that government — by definition — is bad.  After all, one of their favorite Reagan quotes is:

"The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.'"

So, Republicans are simply better at what they do best than Democrats are at what they do best.

Of course, the notion that government is the problem isn't a truism.  It's only a truism if one chooses to make it that way.  Government could have, for example, responded in a timely manner to Hurricane Katrina, but it didn't, thereby bolstering the Reaganistic maxim that government is a problem, not a solution.

This feature of the conservative philosophy poses a fundamental problem with Obama's call for "post-partisanship".  You simply cannot compromise with a mindset that it dedicated to the principle of governmental obstructionism.  It's fine to try, and that Obama has done.  But just two weeks into his administration, it has failed. 

Now it's time for Obama and the Democrats to get behind the wheel of a steamroller.  Screw the obstructionist opposition.

Executive Compensation

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

Kenneth D. Lewis, the chief executive of Bank of America, took home more than $20 million in 2007. Of that, $5.75 million was in salary and bonuses.

Vikram Pandit, who became chief executive of Citigroup in December of 2007 and previously held other senior positions at the bank, made $3.1 million.

Richard Wagoner, the chief executive of General Motors, made $14.4 million, much of it in stock, options and other non-cash benefits. He earned a $1.6 million salary.

That's what they earned for mismanaging their corporations so badly that the federal government, using your tax dollars, has to come and get them bailed out.

But now the Obama administration is expected to impose a cap of $500,000 for top executives at companies that receive large amounts of bailout money.

Make sense.  Long overdue.

And yet, there are detractors:

“That is pretty draconian — $500,000 is not a lot of money, particularly if there is no bonus,” said James F. Reda, founder and managing director of James F. Reda & Associates, a compensation consulting firm. “And you know these companies that are in trouble are not going to pay much of an annual dividend.”

Mr. Reda said only a handful of big companies pay chief executives and other senior executives $500,000 or less in total compensation. He said such limits will make it hard for the companies to recruit and keep executives, most of whom could earn more money at other firms.

“It would be really tough to get people to staff” companies that are forced to impose these limits, he said. “I don’t think this will work.”

Other whiners:

If I didn’t pay [bonuses], the people were going to go. … These people didn’t choose to cure cancer. These people didn’t choose to do public service work…These people chose to make money.” [Jack Welch, former CEO of General Electric]

The consequences of it are going to be a massive brain drain of senior talent from those companies that have taken TARP money to those companies that have not.” [Donald Straszheim, managing principal at Straszheim Global Advisor]

Companies that need the most talented people to fix their problems won’t be able to pay them.” [Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer]

Here's the thing.  If, in these tough economic times, there exist executives who think it is good for a company that they receive $20 million in compensation, those executives are definitionally unqualified and shouldn't be hired in the first place.  Especially if they created the tough economic times (for all of us!) in the first place!!!

And there's something else here.  It's the unbelievable income inequality in this country.

In last Sunday’s Post, Robert Reich pointed out that the top 1% of the country possesses 20% of the nation’s income.  Last time that happened?   1928.  The top 10% possesses a full half of national income.  Take some time to study this chart from the NYT:

Roar2000s 

In 2005, the bottom 90% made only half of the income generated in the United States.  The top 10%, of course, made up the other half. 

Trickle-down?  Don't make me laugh.  The Bush tax cuts, the very thing Republicans want to add more of to the stimulus bill, didn't help average Americans, or even above-average Americans.  It created a class of uber-wealthy — which included the very same CEOs who got us into this economic mess in the first place.

So do I have sympathy for the CEO who will be forced to "only" make $500,000?  Hell, no.  And if the government won't limit CEO compensation, I think shareholders of these corporations should.

UPDATE:  Steve Benen:

Maybe, and I'm just throwing this out there, we shouldn't care if this cap makes it difficult to keep failed executives on in their current posts.

I suspect there are plenty of sharp people in the business world, anxious to make a name for themselves, would who love the opportunity to get $500,000 to turn around a company facing collapse, with the possibility of a huge pay day down the road if they succeed.

If this is the big argument against "draconian" limits on executive compensation, it's an awfully good idea.

Yup.

Close Re-encounters

Ken AshfordYoutubeLeave a Comment

Don't you hate it when you are abducted by an alien and then, months or even years after being probed and prodded, you run into that alien on the street or at a party?

Awwwwwwkward!

The Tunnel

Ken AshfordHistoryLeave a Comment

When I lived in Brooklyn, I had heard rumors of a "secret tunnel" not more than two blocks from where I lived.  It was supposedly an old railroad tunnel built to run dozens of blocks underneath Atlantic Avenue, making it (effectively) the first subway in the world.

1844_Tunnel_View Unknown to me at the time was that the secret tunnel was more than a mere rumor.  Several years earlier, an interpid teenager, hearing the same rumors, actually went down a manhole on Atlantic Avenue and discovered the tunnel.

The tunnel was built in 1841 and abandoned in the late 1850's.  After its disuse, it was supposed to be completely filled in.  But the less-than-honest contractor hired for the job merely plugged up the ends of it, and capped the holes leading to the street.  Very few knew of this of course, and years later the tunnel was forgotten. 

At 17 feet high, 21 feet wide and 1,611 feet long, the Atlantic Avenue tunnel purportedly holds more than empty space.  It is believed to contain within its walls, the bones of a tunnel building supervisor, who was shot and killed by Irish laborers after informing them that they had to work on Sunday.  Others have written that the tunnel contains pages from the diary of Lincoln assassin John Wilkes Booth.  Six blocks of the tunnel — almost half its length — are still blocked off by a large brick wall, and many believe that an actual British locomotive may lie on the other side.  (Plans to break through the wall are slated for this year).

Tours of the tunnel are rare — once or twice a year — but the tour guide is Bob Diamond, the teenager who "re-discovered" the tunnel in 1980.

A nice little story of modern-day archeology.

For more info, read here.  Or watch this, from the upcoming documentary, What's Behind The Wall.

Attunnel

The “Wasteful” Stimulus Bill

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

From CNN.  Having scoured the bill from top to bottom, the House Republicans put out a list of items that they found wasteful — i.e., "pork" that won't lead to job growth — in the Obama stiumulus bill.  They are:

• $2 billion earmark to re-start FutureGen, a near-zero emissions coal power plant in Illinois that the Department of Energy defunded last year because it said the project was inefficient.

• A $246 million tax break for Hollywood movie producers to buy motion picture film.

• $650 million for the digital television converter box coupon program.

• $88 million for the Coast Guard to design a new polar icebreaker (arctic ship).

• $448 million for constructing the Department of Homeland Security headquarters.

• $248 million for furniture at the new Homeland Security headquarters.

• $600 million to buy hybrid vehicles for federal employees.

• $400 million for the Centers for Disease Control to screen and prevent STD's.

• $1.4 billion for rural waste disposal programs.

• $125 million for the Washington sewer system.

• $150 million for Smithsonian museum facilities.

• $1 billion for the 2010 Census, which has a projected cost overrun of $3 billion.

• $75 million for "smoking cessation activities."

• $200 million for public computer centers at community colleges.

• $75 million for salaries of employees at the FBI.

• $25 million for tribal alcohol and substance abuse reduction.

• $500 million for flood reduction projects on the Mississippi River.

• $10 million to inspect canals in urban areas.

• $6 billion to turn federal buildings into "green" buildings.

• $500 million for state and local fire stations.

• $650 million for wildland fire management on forest service lands.

• $1.2 billion for "youth activities," including youth summer job programs.

• $88 million for renovating the headquarters of the Public Health Service.

• $412 million for CDC buildings and property.

• $500 million for building and repairing National Institutes of Health facilities in Bethesda, Maryland.

• $160 million for "paid volunteers" at the Corporation for National and Community Service.

• $5.5 million for "energy efficiency initiatives" at the Department of Veterans Affairs National Cemetery Administration.

• $850 million for Amtrak.

• $100 million for reducing the hazard of lead-based paint.

• $75 million to construct a "security training" facility for State Department Security officers when they can be trained at existing facilities of other agencies.

• $110 million to the Farm Service Agency to upgrade computer systems.

• $200 million in funding for the lease of alternative energy vehicles for use on military installations.

Now, one can bicker about whether any of these provisions will or won't create jobs.  It seems to me that $500 million (for example) to renovate police and fire stations would employ people to, you know, actually renovate them.

But the bigger thing to consider is this: when you tally up all the so-called "pork", it amounts to $18.7 billion — less than 2% of the entire stimulus package.  In other words, House Republicans rejected a bill that they 98% agreed with.  Delay on the bill, by the way, could end up costing a hell of a lot more than $18.7 billion.  But no matter, right?

Keep this in mind when you hear Republicans whine about a bill "full" of pork.  It's not, even by their own admissions.

Weather Advisory

Ken AshfordLocal Interest1 Comment

From 6 pm EST, Tue., Feb. 3, 2009 until 12 pm EST, Wed., Feb. 4, 2009

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING AROUND THE TRIAD AREA AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE TRIANGLE AREA… SMITHFIELD… AND THE ROCKY MOUNT-WILSON AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE SNOW FOR SEVERAL HOURS OVERNIGHT… THEN ADDITIONAL SNOW BANDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED TO CROSS THIS AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY NOON WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED… AND LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW… BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES… AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

My family is, of course, laughing at the "accumulation of 1 to 3 inches" warning, as this is nothing to them.

Women Fake It More Than Men

Ken AshfordSex/Morality/Family Values1 Comment

By "it", I mean "romantic interest".

They flirt and yet they are thinking: "I wish this guy would just leave me alone. I can't stand the sight of him."….. Specifically, some women seemed to be saying, "I'm interested," and yet they were not, according to what they later reported.

So says an Indiana University study.  Details here.

About That Free Denny’s Grand Slam Breakfast (Today Only)

Ken AshfordRandom MusingsLeave a Comment

Good luck

— WTMJ radio reports an hour's wait for a table at a Denny's in Wauwatosa, Wisc.

— WJXX radio in Jacksonville, Fla., says managers at one spot on Atlantic Boulevard report as much business as on Christmas Day. They  expect more than 800 people to dive in. The radio reports that some students are skipping first hour of classes to grab the free meal.

— The Washington Examiner notes a little fine print from Denny's Web site: offer is good as long as supplies last and beverage and tip are not included.

Update at 10:37 a.m. ET:

— Check out this video report by KFSN-TV at a Denny's in Fresno, Calif., where it says hundreds have lined up down the block for their free meal.

Update at 10:41 a.m. ET:

— KBOI radio in Treasure Valley, Idaho, counts a line of 60 waiting to get in to the local Denny's.

— The Dayton Daily News reports full tables at a local diner and a 45-minute wait in a line snaking outside despite 15 degree weather. The newspaper says one group of high school students found the offer impossible to resist.  "I got us lost," said Chris Moore, driver of the group. "We drove around for half an hour looking for it."

UPDATE:  CNN coverage.

History Lesson

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

What Republicans faced in 1932:

  • a desperately unpopular GOP ex-president;

  • a new, ambitious Democratic president whom large numbers of people believed could do no wrong;

  • tired veterans of the past decade at the helm in both chambers;

  • an economic meltdown for which they were blamed; and

  • a depressing want of bodies.

How did they respond?  By challenging FDR's economic stimulus plan as "socialistic", which in 1932 was even more inflammatory than it is today:

"We are on our way to Moscow, " Representative Joseph W. Martin, an influential conservative, insisted after FDR's Agricultural Adjustment Act was delivered to Congress in the spring of 1933. "I have seen hitherto boasted State sovereignty offered up on the Moloch of centralized power," bayed another Republican. "I have seen a dictatorship spring up which must have made the noses of Herr Hitler, Stalin, Mussolini, and Mustapha Kemal of Turkey turn green with envy. Independence in private business is a thing of the past, and individual liberty is only a memory."

Did the rhetoric work?

It did not.  The GOP lost big (again) in the mid-term elections of 1934.

Obama's stimulus package is not perfect, and it's anybody's guess as to whether/how well it will work.  But the current GOP tactic of uniformally opposing it and standing strong in favor of tax cuts (a strategy which didn't prevent this mess in the first place) strikes me as 1932 Redux.

The GOP seems to be on its way to uniting behind a clear strategy.  But is it a winning one?  The lesson of 1932 would suggest not.  As Steve Benen notes:

There are coherent arguments against the stimulus plan, even from a conservative perspective, but actual GOP policy makers apparently aren't familiar with them. Their arguments about the CBO are wrong. Their arguments about tax credits are wrong. Their arguments about aid to states are wrong. Their arguments about the stimulative benefits of tax cuts are wrong. Their arguments about corporate tax rates are wrong. Their arguments about housing are wrong. Even their arguments about allocation are wrong.

And oddly, the GOP now finds itself in the position of hoping the Obama plan fails.  It's a terribly risky strategy.  What if it doesn't?  Obama will be forever known as the next Roosevelt.

How Can We Miss You If You Don’t Leave?

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

I never understood the phenomenon of Samuel Joseph Wurzelbacher aka "Joe The Plumber".  I don't understand why he was touted by McCain and Palin as the typical American, as if that was supposed to impress the typical American (who need only look in a mirror to see a "typical American").  And clearly, Joe the Plumber didn't impress the typical American.

Nor do I understand why, after the election, the right-wing Pajamas Media decided to make Joe a "war correspondent", sending him on a junket to Israel so that he could stand in front of cameras and tell the mainstream media that he is not the story.  No, he's not.  So why was he sent?

And now, the GOP — still lovingly clutching their mascot — has invited Joe to Capital Hill so that he can weigh in on the stimulus package.

Um….. Why?