Tom Toles Is Right

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & Deficit, Health CareLeave a Comment

Just wait a couple years and this will happen:

By the way, I'm well-aware that health care reform is — finally, after months of debating — on the doorstep.  And whether it passes the House or not — well, Democrats think they have the votes, but nobody knows for sure.  Obama is working the phones getting the Democrats in line; Move On and the SEIU are making threats to back other candidates if they don't.

It's going to be close, but statistician golden boy Nate Silver is "cautiously optimistic" that the Democrats have the 216 votes they need.

And for what it's worth, Intrade puts the chances of passage (by both houses) at 68%.