Nobody’s Down With The GOP

Ken AshfordRace, RepublicansLeave a Comment

Ugly numbers from the latest Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll:


ALL 24 71 5
MEN 32 63 5
WOMEN 16 79 5
DEM 5 94 1
REP 70 22 8
IND 15 78 7
OTH/REF 19 76 5
NON VOTERS 14 81 5
WHITE 31 64 5
BLACK 3 94 3
LATINO 8 86 6
OTHER/REF 9 84 7
18-29 9 87 4
30-44 35 59 6
45-59 21 74 5
60+ 23 72 5
SOUTH 45 47 8
MIDWEST 18 78 4
WEST 20 76


Let's put that in graph form, so you can see the breakdown by race:
Josh Marshall notes that the Republican Party may have structural impediments in place that will make progress with minorities difficult.

The only problem is that the modern Republican party's panic switch, or at least one of them, is rancid jingoism and more or less open anti-Hispanic (though often specifically targeted at Mexicans) prejudice. Or, to put it more bluntly, as with African-Americans, it's tough to be the party of the blacks and the racists at the same time. (Not that the Dems didn't try it for a few decades in the middle of the 20th century — but it didn't end up panning out.)

One might imagine an alternative universe in which gays were not only an increasingly open and powerful political constituency but also one that was growing rapidly in population terms. And you'd have Republicans wanting to cultivate support among this growing group but also episodically bashing them to consolidate support among base conservative voters.

In other words, it's not a mistake or incompetence or any lack of planning that has Republicans in such a bad position with Hispanics, America's fastest growing ethnic group. It's just that people who are hostile to Hispanic immigration and just Hispanics in general are one of the GOP's key constituencies. That puts some real obstacles in the way of becoming the party of Hispanics.