The latest news has Clinton and Obama tied at 28 percent, with Edwards at 26 percent.
Let me make what will undoubtedly mark the beginning of a long string of inaccurate predictions: Edwards will win Iowa. I say that because they like him there. He’s been campaigning hard, and most importantly, he’s been there before. They remember him from 2004, and they liked him then, too.
On the GOP side, Huckabee has 28 percent, followed closely by Romney at 26 percent. I’ll go with Huckabee.
For what it’s worth, I’m still supporting anybody yet. I’ve always leaned toward Obama, but lately he’s been running to the right [UPDATE: link added]. Things like, attacking trial lawyers. Now that’s a conservative boogeyman. (Note to America: attacking trial lawyers for lawsuits is misdirected. People hire lawyers to file lawsuits; lawyers don’t bring the lawsuits themselves. Blaming trial lawyers for an overly-litiguous society makes about as much sense as blaming doctors for cancer. But I digress…)
Obama has also been running ads saying things like "Clinton would force people to buy insurance even if they can’t afford it" and "Barack Obama will cover everyone". The first statement is simply another conservative lie, and the second statement is Obama’s own original lie.
It may be politically astute to run to the right of the other Democratic candidates, but as a general rule, I can’t warm up to a politician who acts that way purely for political expeidency. Obama is going to have to straighten out and fly
right left before he closes the deal on my vote.