About That Hurricane Season

Ken AshfordDisastersLeave a Comment

Forecasters predicted a bad 2007 hurricane season, but it’s seemed pretty mild so far, yes?

Well, don’t un-duct-tape your windows yet, cowboy:

Worst of Atlantic hurricane season still to come

MIAMI (Reuters) – Nearly eight weeks have passed since the last tropical storm in the Atlantic-Caribbean region faded away, but banish any notion the 2007 hurricane season has been unusually slow and beware the coming months, experts say.

The peak of the six-month season is just around the corner and forecasters are still predicting a busy one.

"There’s absolutely nothing out of the ordinary," Gerry Bell, a hurricane forecaster for the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, said of the Atlantic season’s first two months. "It’s not slow. It’s not fast."

On average, June and July produce zero to two named storms or hurricanes. So far this year there have been two. Andrea formed in early May, Barry on June 1.

There’s plenty of evidence the first two months are meaningless as an indicator for the rest of the season.


Historically, the Atlantic hurricane season peaks on September 10 and the period from August 20 until October 14 produces the greatest number of storms.