Election 2005 Predictions

Ken AshfordElection 2006Leave a Comment

I haven’t been following this much, but I think today will be a good day for Democrats.  I suspect that Kaine (D) will beat Kilgore (R) for Virginia governor (despite — or perhaps because of — Bush’s last minute joint appearance with Kilgore)

Corzine (D) will defeat Forrester (R) for New Jersey mayor. 

And while Bloomberg (R) will remain mayor of New York, Detroit Democrat Hendrix will oust incumbant Republican Kilpartick.  San Diego and Buffalo will have Democratic mayors as well.

In California, most of Ahnold’s props will get beaten.  Prop 74 (extending probationary period for teachers so that it will be easier to fire them) will not pass.  Prop 75 (barring public employee unions from contributing to political campaigns unless members approve) will not pass.  Prop 76 (giving governor power to unilaterally cut spending in certain "fiscal situations") will not pass.  Prop 77 (redistricting) will not pass.  The only one with a chance of passing is Prop 73 (48 hour physician notification of parents when a minor seeks abortion).

And Mainesters will vote to keep a law which bans discrimination based on sexual orientation.

All in all, a good harbinger for Election 2006.

NEXT DAY UPDATE: Can I call them or what??