“I have heard of your paintings too, well enough; God has given you one face, and you make yourselves another.”

Ken AshfordHistoryLeave a Comment

"Hamlet", Act 3 scene 1

We all know what Shakespeare looked like.  Or at least, we think we know.

It's this guy:

William-shakespeare-portrait 

But guess what?  Probably not.

The above engraving was by Martin Droeshout.  It appeared with the First Folio, the collection of Shakespeare's work that was published in 1623, seven years after the Bard's death.  In other words, Shakespeare didn't pose for this.  Like most engravings of the time, the engraving was probably based on something else (another engraving, a painting, etc.).  It may even be a third generation representation of Shakespeare.

So what did Shakespeare really look like?  Scholars have tried — and failed — to unanimously find a contemporaneous portrait.

But maybe we have a winner, as of today:

Professor Stanley Wells, Chairman of The Shakespeare Birthplace Trust, and one of the world’s leading experts on Shakespearian studies, has announced the discovery of a portrait of William Shakespeare, which he believes is almost certainly the only authentic image of Shakespeare made from life.

So without much further ado (about nothing?), here is (perhaps) the real Shakespeare:

Shakespeare_0309 

I think he and Virginia Woolf are related:

 

Then again, I look like Hugh Jackman, so….

But I digress.

Good Economic Forecasts

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

Gotta be a little optimistic about this:

The recession-hit U.S. economy is proving weaker than economists expected just a month ago, but forecasters still think a recovery is in the cards for later this year, a survey released on Tuesday showed.

"Consumer spending and residential investment are expected to turn positive and begin boosting GDP growth in the third quarter of this year," the newsletter Blue Chip Economic Indicators said, summarizing its survey of private economists.

The consensus of the 51 forecasters surveyed looks for U.S. gross domestic product to tumble at a sharp 5.3 percent annual rate in the first quarter and to decline at a 2 percent pace in the second quarter.

In the third quarter, however, economists expect the economy to expand at a 0.5 percent rate, followed by a 1.8 percent fourth-quarter gain.

And I'm sure you've seen the Dow today, yes?

Index Value: 6,853.38
Trade Time: 12:46pm ET
Change: Up 306.33 (4.68%)
Prev Close: 6,547.05
Open: 6,547.01
Day's Range: 6,546.616,880.70
52wk Range: 6,440.0813,191.50
 
(as of 12:46 pm).
 
Citigroup is up 37%.  NASDAQ up 74 pts (5.85%).  S&P 500 up 37 pts (5.43 %) 
 
So, I guess this means socialism works…..?
 
CLOSE OF MARKET UPDATE:
U.S. stocks posted their best day in more than three months on Tuesday after Citigroup said it was profitable in the first two months of 2009.
 
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI jumped 379.44 points, or 5.80 percent, to end unofficially at 6,926.49. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX surged 43.07 points, or 6.37 percent, to 719.60. The Nasdaq Composite Index leaped 89.64 points, or 7.07 percent, to 1,358.28.

Memo To Boehner: Nation Not Divided on Stem Cell Issue

Ken AshfordHealth Care, Science & TechnologyLeave a Comment

 Out of touch much, John?

The top Republican in the US House of Representatives urged President Barack Obama to "reevaluate" his decision to lift limits on federal funding for embryonic stem cell research.

"The president has rolled back important protections for innocent life, further dividing our nation at a time when we need greater unity to tackle the challenges before us," charged Republican House Minority Leader John Boehner.

Dividing our nation?  From Polling Report:

There is a type of medical research that involves using special cells, called embryonic stem cells, that might be used in the future to treat or cure many diseases, such as Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, diabetes, and spinal cord injury. It involves using human embryos discarded from fertility clinics that no longer need them. Some people say that using human embryos for research is wrong. Do you favor or oppose using discarded embryos to conduct stem cell research to try to find cures for the diseases I mentioned?"

Favor      73
Oppose   19
Unsure      9

It should also be noted that stem cell research isn't even a partisan issue.  Obama's position has been endorsed by Republican lawmakers, Republican governors, and Nancy Reagan.

How Religious Are We?

Ken AshfordGodstuffLeave a Comment

American Religious Identification Survey (ARIS) last took the religious pulse of America in 1990.  Last year, they did it again.

US Today has the findings in nice graph form, but here are some stand-out findings:

  • Despite growth and immigration that has added nearly 50 million adults to the U.S. population, almost all religious denominations have lost ground since the first ARIS survey in 1990.

  • The least religious states:

    1. Vermont
    1. New Hampshire
    1. Wyoming
    1. Washington
    1. Maine
    1. Oregon
    1. Nevada
    1. Idaho
    1. Delaware
    1. Massachusetts
    1. Colorado
    1. Montana
    1. Rhode Island
    1. DC
    1. California

    New England and the West dominate the list.

  • As for the most religious, it's the Bible Belt:

    1. Mississippi
    1. North Dakota
    1. Louisiana
    1. Arkansas
    1. Tennessee
    1. Georgia
    1. North Carolina
    1. South Carolina
    1. Kansas
    1. Oklahoma
    1. Alabama
    1. Minnesota
    1. Texas
    1. South Dakota
    1. Kentucky
  • The fastest growing religious group?  The "Nones" (atheists, agnostics).  They are at 15%

RELATED READING:  Michael Spencer of The Christian Science Monitor predicts an evangelical collapse within the next ten years (and a resurrection of a different kind of evangelicalism afterwards):

Millions of Evangelicals will quit. Thousands of ministries will end. Christian media will be reduced, if not eliminated. Many Christian schools will go into rapid decline. I'm convinced the grace and mission of God will reach to the ends of the earth. But the end of evangelicalism as we know it is close.

Removing Three Bush-Era Policies In One Day

Ken AshfordBush & Co., Health Care, Obama & Administration, Science & Technology, Sex/Morality/Family ValuesLeave a Comment

(1)  Stem Cell Research — Executive Order of March 9, 2009:

Sec. 1: . . . For the past 8 years, the authority of the Department of Health and Human Services, including the National Institutes of Health (NIH), to fund and conduct human embryonic stem cell research has been limited by Presidential actions. The purpose of this order is to remove these limitations on scientific inquiry, to expand NIH support for the exploration of human stem cell research, and in so doing to enhance the contribution of America's scientists to important new discoveries and new therapies for the benefit of humankind.

Sec. 2. Research. The Secretary of Health and Human Services (Secretary), through the Director of NIH, may support and conduct responsible, scientifically worthy human stem cell research, including human embryonic stem cell research, to the extent permitted by law.

Sec. 3. Guidance. Within 120 days from the date of this order, the Secretary, through the Director of NIH, shall review existing NIH guidance and other widely recognized guidelines on human stem cell research, including provisions establishing appropriate safeguards, and issue new NIH guidance on such research that is consistent with this order.

(2)  Signing statements

In a memo to senior government officials, Obama said they must check with Attorney General Eric Holder before relying on any of Bush's signing statements for guidance. Bush often issued a statement when signing a bill into law, and critics said the statements at times showed government officials how to circumvent the law if Bush disagreed with it on constitutional grounds.

(3)  Restoring scientific integrity:

By this memorandum, I assign to the Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (Director) the responsibility for ensuring the highest level of integrity in all aspects of the executive branch's involvement with scientific and technological processes.  The Director shall confer, as appropriate, with the heads of executive departments and agencies, including the Office of Management and Budget and offices and agencies within the Executive Office of the President (collectively, the "agencies"), and recommend a plan to achieve that goal throughout the executive branch.

Each of these events is worthy of its own thoughtful post (in fact, I've written about these subjects many times before, complaining about the Bush policies).  But there's really nothing to say, except to note the speed with which these Bush-era policies are being undone.

I will comment, however, on Republican Eric Cantor.  He recently said on CNN that Obama's stem cell reversal order is a distraction from dealing with the economy:

"Why are we going and distracting ourselves from the economy? This is job No. 1. Let's focus on what needs to be done."

First of all, Obama signed an executive order.  Didn't really take a lot of time.  Obama, I'm sure, can do that and focus on the economy.

Secondly, reversing the policy on stem cell research will create jobs (not to mention, oh, curing diseases).

Thirdly, Cantor is no position to talk about Obama's supposed failure to focus on "Job. No 1".  Here are some bills that Cantor has co-sponsored in the past two months:

– H. Res. 204: Congratulating the American Dental Association for its 150th year of working to improve the public’s oral health and promoting dentistry.

– H. Res. 18: A bill honoring the life, achievements and contributions of Paul Newman.

– H.R. 997: To declare English as the official language of the United States.

– H.R. 836: To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to reduce the tax on beer to its pre-1991 level, and for other purposes.

Lucky Man

Ken AshfordYoutubeLeave a Comment

Turkish man gets hit by a huge truck which just got hit by a huge train.  He survives with only minor injuries.

The crash is caught on close-circuit security cams:

Birther Suit Smackdown

Ken AshfordObama OppositionLeave a Comment

Seriously fringe conservatives are still challenging Obama's citizenship in court.  This fringe group has been given the name "birthers", since the basis of their challenge is that Obama was not born a U.S. citizen, and therefore his presidency is unconstitutional.

Birthers, who had lost previously in courts as well as public opinion, had pinned their final hopes on a federal case in D.C., Hollister vs. Soetoro, et al.

Not only did the judge throw the case out, but he did so in rather harsh language.  And he has cited the attorney who brought this suit on frivilous grounds.

Hollister.dismissal

 
Somehow, I don't think the Birthers are done with their quest.
 
More from Politico.

Interesting Ways For States To Increase Their Revenues

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

(1) Allow same-sex marriages before your neighboring states do:

"Right now, so few states provide for marriage for same-sex couples that there is a kind of marriage tourism that goes on," Gates explains.

In other words, states that legalize same-sex marriage — and that are among the first to do so — would see the biggest uptick in tourism due to couples from neighboring states making the trip to say "I do."

"Assuming that people buy rings and rent halls and cater food and all of those things that go with weddings and, for tourism, that they bring some people along with them and they all stay in a hotel and all of those kinds of activities — we try to take [that] into account."

"[Gay marriage] creates some positive revenue for the state because it simply means that people who could not get married now can."

And Gates even argues that more jobs would be created.

"If you have this much tourism revenue, it supports this many jobs in the states. So we argue if you get this much additional tourism revenue, then you would expect this many additional jobs."

(2)  Legalize, and then tax, marijuana:

California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger…  is facing a $42 billion budget deficit, his prisons are filled to bursting, in substantial part with people in on drug-related crime, and he will soon be forced by judicial edict to start freeing people. He also has an offer from a group call Let Us Pay Taxes, which claims to represent the marijuana industry and is willing to pay $1 billion annually in taxes if only he will legalize. No doubt they are low-balling.

(3)  Tax porn:

Because of recent court decisions over the relatively new area of taxing Internet transactions, the sales tax would apply only to pornographers who are located in the state. It's a break for out-of-state Web sites that wouldn't have to collect from New Yorkers.

It's difficult to tally how much people spend for online porn, but TopTenREVIEWS.com, a site reviewing products and ranking their quality, performance and revenue, says the industry brought in $2.84 billion in 2006. The cable, pay-per-view and phone sex industries brought in $2.19 billion that year, the site says.

Paterson's tax also applies to downloads of music and movies, so this government action on pornography isn't likely to face the same legal challenges over indecency and freedom of speech as past measures because the tax isn't specifically targeting content.

(4)  Casinos and slot parlors:

The state treasurer thinks Massachusetts would get a financial boost by licensing three slot parlors.

Tim Cahill believes the state could generate up to $3 billion in one-time licensing fees up front and about $250 million a year in tax revenues.

"I think given the financial crisis we're faced with, and the need for revenue, this is a cleaner and quicker way to get that revenue," Cahill told WBZ Tuesday.

Gov. Patrick failed in his attempt to bring full scale-casinos to Massachusetts last year.

The slot parlors would be privately-owned and operated, but publically regulated.

The state would get 27-percent of the money made from them.

(5)  Tax "thingy":

More Bad News

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

…but not entirely unexpected:

Another 651,000 jobs were lost in February, adding to the millions of people who have been thrown out of work as the economic downturn deepens.

In a stark measure of the recession’s toll, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday that the national unemployment rate surged to 8.1 percent last month, its highest in 25 years. The economy has now shed more than 4.4 million jobs since the recession started in December 2007.

Don't panic.  Recovery is going to take a while.  Things are going to get worse before they get better:

Economists expect that unemployment will continue to rise for the rest of the year and into early 2010, with the unemployment rate reaching 9 to 10 percent by the time a recovery begins. But even then, with so many job losses centered in manufacturing, economists say that many positions devoured during this recession will not be coming back.

The solution, as any Republican will tell you, is to lower the capital gains tax.  Because, um, well, just because.

How Is This Socialism?

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

Obama is in Columbus, Ohio this morning.  Why?

The President will deliver remarks at the Columbus Police Graduation Exercises. The 25 Columbus police recruits graduating Friday learned in January that instead of being sworn-in as officers, they would be let go. However, Mayor Michael Coleman announced last week that he would use money from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act to pay the recruits' salaries so they could keep their jobs.

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.  That's the bill that all the House Republicans voted against, and all but three Senate Republicans voted against.  Because it provided condoms, or was European socialism, or something like that.

Captialsocial

Quote Of The (Yester)Day

Ken AshfordRepublicansLeave a Comment

Senator William Edgar Borah (R-Idaho):

“”I should like to see the Republican Party reorganized. … I don’t think there is any room in this country for an old conservative party. . . . Abraham Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt were liberal leaders. It doesn’t take long to shake off what you call conservatism. . . . There was a vast amount of reaction against the New Deal, but what were the people offered? . . . People can’t eat the Constitution.” 

– From a 1934 Time magazine article just after the Republicans had thoroughly lost in the 1934 elections after FDR’s takeover in 1932

TV Graphic Of The Day

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

And take note, this is a Fox News poll:

Foxpoll 

Also, from the same poll…

"Do you support or oppose raising taxes on households earning over $250,000 a year and, at the same time, lowering taxes for most other households?" The answer: Support 66%, Oppose 30%. Even 41% of Republicans like the idea.