Well today is the big day. Georgia-6th, a strong Republican district, might actually flip to Democratic in what many see as a referendum on Trump’s presidency.
The truth is, whether Joel Ossoff wins today or loses, it is almost irrelevant. Polls show him barely ahead but that doesn’t matter. What matters is that a district which “split” on Trump and Hillary (Trump won over Hillary 48% to 47%) but is otherwise a Republican stronghold:
Election results from presidential races:
| Year | Office | Results |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | President | George W. Bush 68% – Al Gore 32% |
| 2004 | President | George W. Bush 70% – John Kerry 29% |
| 2008 | President | John McCain 62% – Barack Obama 37% |
| 2012 | President | Mitt Romney 61% – Barack Obama 38% |
| 2016 | President | Donald Trump 48% – Hillary Clinton 47% |
Tom Price, who left his seat to become Trump’s Secretary of Health and Human Services, has held that seat since 2004, taking 64.5%, 66.0%, and 61.7% in the last three elections (2012, 2014, and 2016).
Even if Ossloff comes close to winning, and he will, this means that many congressional seats that went for Hillary or slightly Trump are in play, and the House can be flipped in 2018. And THAT means… impeachment.