Monmouth NH Poll Has Biden On Top

Ken AshfordElection 2020, PollsLeave a Comment

Look. It’s waaaay to early for these things, but with 20+ Democrats in the mix, it’s an early bellweather of who has New Hampshire’s attention and who doesn’t. New Monmouth NH poll: – Joe Biden 36% Bernie Sanders 18% Pete Buttigieg 9% Elizabeth Warren 8% Kamala Harris 6% Cory Booker 2% Amy Klobuchar 2% Beto O’Rourke 2% John Hickenlooper 1% … Read More

Call For Impeachment Grows

Ken AshfordL'Affaire Russe, Polls, Right Wing and Inept Media, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

There are a lot of serious writings lately urging the impeachment of Trump, and not just from the fringes of the internet. Here is one typical example, printed in the Washington Post, by Brian Klaas: If Donald Trump weren’t president, he’d probably be in jail. That’s the view of a bipartisan group of hundreds of former federal prosecutors, who have … Read More

NPR/Marist Poll Shows People Want To See Mueller Report

Ken AshfordL'Affaire Russe, Polls, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

Some graphs from today’s NPR/Marist Poll: I think there is a problem with the question. Does this mean they are satisfied with Mueller’s thoroughness, or satisfied with the outcome? Huge difference, and I think that makes the results meaningless. Democrats, Republicans and Independents all want to see the full report. Curious that 40% of Republicans don’t want to see the … Read More

Quinnipiac Poll Shows Most People Don’t Believe Trump And That He Committed Crimes Before Becoming President

Ken AshfordL'Affaire Russe, Political Scandals, Polls, Stormy Daniels & Karen McDougal Affairs, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

President Donald Trump committed crimes before he became president, American voters say 64 – 24 percent in a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. Republicans say 48 – 33 percent that President Trump did not commit crimes before he was president, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll finds. Every other listed party, gender, education, age and racial group says … Read More

Dealmaker, My Ass

Ken AshfordPolls, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

To all the people out there who voted for Trump because he is a great dealmaker, let’s review how well he did on his first big dealmaking with a non-compliant Congress: March 2018: Democrats offer $25B in border all funding for a pathway to citizenship for the dreamers. Trump kills the deal by tacking on draconian cuts to LEGAL immigration. … Read More

Trump Is The Underdog For 2020

Ken AshfordElection 2020, PollsLeave a Comment

He seems stuck at 41-42%, no matter who he runs against. Our new national poll finds no matter what Dem you test against Trump, he is stuck at 41-42% Biden 53 Trump 41Sanders 51 Trump 41Harris 48 Trump 41O'Rourke 47 Trump 41Warren 48 Trump 42Booker 47 Trump 42Gillibrand 47 Trump 42:https://t.co/3qotAuZKDj — PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) January 22, 2019

The Sound Of Goalposts Moving Again

Ken AshfordL'Affaire Russe, Polls, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

Rudy Giuliani on Cuomo last night: Rudy Guiliani to @ChrisCuomo tonight: “I never said there was no collusion between the campaign or between people in the campaign… I have not. I said” no collision with, “the President of the United States.” pic.twitter.com/Smb0OuNzL9 — andrew kaczynski (@KFILE) January 17, 2019 According to Giuliani, what Trump meant in the sixty tweets in which he’s … Read More

Country REALLY Divided on Day 26 of Shutdown

Ken AshfordGubmint Shutdown, Immigration and Xenophobia, Polls, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

From Gallup today, the country is more divided on Trump than with any other president in polling history. The average 79-percentage-point difference between Republicans’ and Democrats’ job approval ratings of President Donald Trump during his second year in office is the largest Gallup has measured in any presidential year to date.  But Trump still polls at historical lows. Overall, an … Read More

Exhausting Futility Continues

Ken AshfordGubmint Shutdown, Immigration and Xenophobia, L'Affaire Russe, Polls, Russia, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

Shutdown Day Number 23 and there is no sign of movement. Trump apparently has little to do but tweet all day — childish attacks on Elizabeth Warren (racist attacks there) and on Jeff Bezo’s personal life. But that is kind of the point that Trump wants to make — he’s ready to work on a deal and Dems are off … Read More

Trump’s Reality Tremor

Ken AshfordL'Affaire Russe, Polls, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

For all of Trump’s outward swagger, signs are mounting that the White House is deeply rattled. Federal prosecutors now claim Trump personally directed a conspiracy to secure his election in the form of illegal hush-money payments. We’ve learned that Trump negotiated business dealings with Russia throughout the GOP primaries, which he concealed. And there are solid grounds for believing Mueller still hasn’t tipped his hand … Read More

Trump Takes A Hit In The Polls

Ken AshfordPolls, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

Two new polls that came out today affirm a sag in Trump’s standing: Quinnipiac has Trump at 38% approve, 54% disapprove… while Gallup has him at 40% approve, 54% disapprove The Quinnipeac poll takes a deeper dive on Trump: 60–32% is not honest57–38% does not have good leadership skills55-41% does not care about average Americans65–30% not level-headed57-39% is a strong person51-42% … Read More

Family Separation Policy Goes To Overboil

Ken AshfordImmigration and Xenophobia, Polls, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

There is no absence of opinion on the Trump Administration’s “zero-tolerance policy” toward immigrants crossing the Southern border — a policy that includes separating children from their parents indefinitely, and detaining them in less-than-stellar conditions (including a “tent city” popping up in a region where the temperatures are often in the high 90s).  All living former first ladies have written … Read More

Trump Less Trusted Than…. Than Fake News?

Ken AshfordFake News, Polls, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

This just-released Monmouth University poll is interesting if not contradictory. Apparently, Trump’s efforts to de-legitimize mainstream news continues to be successful, although Trump is less trusted as a source of news than the mainstream media.  Of course, how one feels depends on the definition of “fake news”, and it appears to mean different things to different people.  The full PDF:

Trump’s Behavior Continues To Offend And Baffle

Ken AshfordL'Affaire Russe, Polls, Stormy Daniels & Karen McDougal Affairs, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

In the days following the mass shooting at a high school in Parkland Florida, and with Mueller clearly breathing down Trump’s neck, his behavior has been frenzied and offensive. Here’s how Time described it: The weekend began with what many considered a victory of the smallest order. The typically chatty President bypassed the reporters to board his waiting helicopter without … Read More