State Of The Dem Presidential Nominee Race

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

Look, this is a snapshot of a flowing river. Things are going to change. But generally, Warren’s star is on the rise. Sanders’s star is on the fall. But Biden remains on top among all demos except the liberal youth. It seems that if Biden fades, the biggest beneficiary is Harris.

Democatic Debate #2 Night Two

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

Well, a lot of people last night had a good night. Which means that nobody really stood out. To recap, here were the participants in last nights debate: Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet New York Sen. Kirsten Gillebrand Former HUD Secretary Julián Castro New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker Former Vice President Joe Biden California Sen. Kamala Harris Andrew Yang Hawaii Rep. … Read More

Debate #2, First Night: Thoughts

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

Last night, in order of their placement onstage, left to right:  Spiritualist and author Marianne Williamson; Rep. Tim Ryan, D-Ohio; Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn.; South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg; Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.; Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass.; former Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-Texas; former Gov. John Hickenlooper, D-Colo.; former Rep. John Delaney, D-Md.; and Gov. Steve Bullock, D-Mont. I was not bowled over and I watched about as much … Read More

Dem Debates #2 Begin Tonight

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

There are just too many candidates for these debates to be useful. I get that everyone should get a shot, but after this round, we need to whittle the field to a healthy 6 or 7. Not 25. I also don’t care for the draw (which was random). Tonight, in order of their placement onstage, left to right: Spiritualist and … Read More

Dem Debate Fallout

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020, PollsLeave a Comment

We are several days (including a weekend) following the Democratic debates, and the field is taking shape as expected. Warren and Harris are up; Bide is down. Here are some graphs: Post-debate CNN poll: 2020 Democrats 6/28-30 (change from 5/28-31) Biden 22% (-10)Harris 17% (+9)Warren 15% (+8)Sanders 14% (-4)Buttigieg 4% (-1)Booker 3% (-)O’Rourke 3% (-2)Klobuchar 2% (-)Castro 1% (-1)de Blasio … Read More

Frank Rich On The Dem 2020 Field

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

I endorse this: Over this week’s two nights of debates, the top 20 candidates in the Democratic primary have had a chance to introduce themselves to a national audience. Will anything they said winnow the field? I am happy to answer with a resounding “Yes!” I’ll take a minor risk and guess that as of this morning, the field has … Read More

Dem Debate No. 2: Thoughts

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

Unlike the first debate on Wednesday night, last night’s round of ten debate was exciting and revealing, probably because it contained 4-5 top tier and second tier candidates, rather than 2-3 in the first debate. The takeaway: It was a great night for Kamala Harris. She “won” it hands done. And it was a horrible night for Biden. And it … Read More

Dem Debate No. 1 Quick And Dirty Review

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

Look — it was too many candidates, covering too many issues, in too short a time. I watched last night to see if there were any standouts in the bottom tiers (Warren, being the only one in the pack who is in the top five polling-wise) My take, in order of my pre-debate preference: Warren: no changeBooker: looking slightly betterCastro: … Read More

Dem Debate No.1 One Is Tonight

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

The first debates of the 2020 Democratic presidential race are here. Ten candidates will participate tonight beginning at 9:00 pm ET. And the second 10 — led by Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg — go on Thursday. Slated for tonight: Cory Booker, Bill de Blasio, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, Beto … Read More

Biden Can Work With Bigots, But Don’t We Want Someone Who Can BEAT Them?

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

Joseph R. Biden Jr., defending himself on Tuesday night against suggestions that he is too “old fashioned” for today’s Democratic Party, invoked two Southern segregationist senators by name as he fondly recalled the “civility” of the Senate in the 1970s and 1980s. Speaking at a fund-raiser at the Carlyle Hotel in New York City, Mr. Biden, 76, stressed the need … Read More

Dem Debates Lineup:

Ken AshfordDemocrats, Election 2020Leave a Comment

Wednesday, June 26: Booker Castro de Blasio Delaney Gabbard Inslee Klobuchar O’Rourke Warren Thursday, June 27: Biden Bennet Buttigieg Gillibrand Harris Hickenlooper Sanders Swalwell Williamson Yang The first night is a gift to Warren, since she is among lower-level people, and it is the first night (more likely to get more viewers). Thursday looks like the heavy hitters, and for … Read More

To Impeach or Not?

Ken AshfordCongress, Democrats, Election 2020, L'Affaire Russe, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

Okay, we have the Muller Report, which — as everyone says — is a roadmap for Congress to start impeachment proceedings, or at least go forward with investigations leading to impeachment proceedings. Steny Hoyer, the number-two Democrat in the House, even after the long-awaited Mueller report, is not on board. “Based on what we have seen to date, going forward … Read More

Pelosi Wins SOTU War

Ken AshfordCongress, Democrats, Trump & AdministrationLeave a Comment

Donald Trump blinked. There’s simply no other way to interpret this tweet sent at 11:12 p.m. Eastern time Wednesday night: As the Shutdown was going on, Nancy Pelosi asked me to give the State of the Union Address. I agreed. She then changed her mind because of the Shutdown, suggesting a later date. This is her prerogative – I will do the … Read More

What The New Dem-Controlled House Should Do Out Of The Gate

Ken AshfordCongress, Democrats, Election 2018, Immigration and Xenophobia, Infrastructure, Political Scandals, Trump & Administration, Voter Suppression & Voter SecurityLeave a Comment

Dear Dem-Controlled House and Nancy Pelosi: Don’t let Trump bait you into go whole hog on investigations of him. That’ll come in time. No talk of impeachment. And let Mueller do his thing.  In the meantime, act for the American people. The new Democratic House majority should devote its first 100 days to passing five pieces of legislation, then dare … Read More