Trump Campaign Takes It To A Whole New Level

Ken AshfordElection 2016Leave a Comment

Or… depth I should say.

Friday night saw the cancellation of a Trump event in Chicago because of protesters.  Trump stated that he decided to cancel the event after consultation with law enforcement, but the Chicago PD says they never advised Trump that the safety issues were beyond what they could handle.

Rachel Maddow entered Ed Murrow land — talking about this off-the-cuff and without a prepared script, she put the event into perspective that evening:

 

Trump is campaigning today in North Carolina among other places.  Right now, this is going on:

 

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… and props to CNN for correctly putting the word “interviews” in quotes.  I’m told that Christie is being unctuous and sycophantic, so the “interview” is more like this:

Meanwhile, this just happened:
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…so I don’t know what that was about.

[UPDATE: Well, I found out what that was about.  The Alaskan Clampett family is at it again, operating heavy machinery under the influence:

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 End update]

[OMG ANOTHER UPDATE:  I guess she made it after all.  And she brought word salad for everyone


Made It After All by kenneth-ashford
Palin: It’s good to be here, thawing out, from Alaska. Literally, I’m thawing out. Before getting on a flight up here, I was ice fishing on my frozen lake. And my husband was out snowmachining, and thank you guys for your prayers for my husband who is recovering right now in ICU after a little wreck on a snowmachine, so thank you. Big wreck. Thank you. But, uh, you know, when real life happens, right? When somebody is sick in your family, there’s an accident that happens, all these struggles… all these real life issues that happen, it really puts things in perspective, doesn’t it? And doesn’t it make you appreciate your time? Time is our most valuable resource. And it makes me appreciate the time that we have to spend in doing something so worthy, and that’s to get Donald J. Trump elected President. And what we don’t have time for is all that petty, punk ass little thuggery stuff that’s been going on with these quote-unquote protesters who are doing nothing but wasting your time.

Anyway, It is all about tomorrow.  Or so we are told.  North Carolina, Missouri and Illinois are voting, which is major enough.  But Ohio and Florida are tomorrow too — and they are winner-take-all states and they are big states.  And they are the home states to Kasich and Rubio, respectively.

The problem with that analysis is this:

(1)  Rubio is not going to win Florida.  He’s just way to behind in the polls, and Trump’s weekend shenanigans don’t seem to have effected that (as usual).

RCP 3-14 GOP poll data

I don’t hold stock in the journalistic concept of “momentum” anyway, but you certainly can’t gain any momentum if you can’t even win you’re home state.  So Rubio is out, or should be.

(2)  Even if Kasich wins Ohio, he has to win 112% (or something like that) of the remaining delegates to get a majority.  That is a mathematical impossibility.

SOOOOOOO… we are left with:

(1)  Trump;

(2)  An unlikely Cruz upset; or

(3) A contested convention where nobody gets a majority on the first vote

And most bets are on #1.  And the beat goes on….

And the crazy continues…
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