Cams no longer up.
UPDATE: It missed New York City. That’s good for NYC but….
This #snowFail does not bode well for civilian cooperation with the terms of the next snow emergency in NYC.
— Lisa B. (@politeracy) January 27, 2015
For the record, the GFS was right. Meteorologists largely depend on three major forecast models: the NAM (North American Mesoscale), the GFS (Global Forecast System), and the ECMWF (European Center for Medium Rage Forecasting). Meteorologists will look at all of these and, using their own expertise, local knowledge, etc., formulate a forecast. In this case, the NAM and the ECMWF both showed 2 feet of snow or more for New York City, while the GFS (which has just been upgraded this winter) showed a more conservative six to 12 inches.
So we should rely on the GFS from now on? Nope. In 2012, the ECMWF was the media-darling model for properly forecasting Superstorm Sandy to a ‘t’ while the GFS got it wrong. Now it is the opposite.